YRDSB and YCDSB Snow Day Predictor for York Region

Estimate whether Student Transportation Services of York Region cancels buses tomorrow, and why schools stay open when it does.

Where you live

This page always opens on York Region; the forecast you last entered here is kept on this device.

Tonight’s forecast

Copy it from your weather app or the local news.

When does it fall?
Freezing rain or ice

Your school
What kind of district?
Snow days used this school year
Units

York Region, Ontario · tomorrow

Chance buses are cancelled

Pick where you live and enter tonight’s forecast to see the chances.

–

meadowtools.com · an estimate for fun, not the official call

The official call

Only your school district or board decides. Check its website, app or text alerts, and the school closings list of your local TV station.

How to use it for York Region

The calculator opens on York Region, using the Richmond Hill climate station, with metric units. Enter tonight’s snow in centimetres, when it falls, any freezing rain, and the morning temperature and wind. The headline is the chance that buses and taxis are cancelled; the second line is the chance schools close too, which happened on January 26, 2026, after a record snowfall at Pearson, and rarely otherwise.

What York Region’s snow climate means

Richmond Hill averages about 151 cm of snow a year, and about 13 cm falls in one day roughly once a winter. Tonight’s snow is scored against that. With 10 cm ending overnight the calculator gives about a 60% chance buses are cancelled; 15 cm still falling while buses run pushes it to about 85%. Freezing rain matters as much as depth: even a glaze on untreated side streets can stop buses.

Georgina, on Lake Simcoe, often gets squalls the southern cities miss. Since the 2026 pilot, the transportation office can cancel the Georgina area alone, so if you live north of Ravenshoe Road and the snow is lake-effect, expect a higher chance than the result shows.

After you check

At 6 a.m., look at schoolbuscity.com (it doesn’t load from every network) or your board’s website; YRDSB’s severe weather page lists the other channels. If buses are cancelled, schools are normally open, but tests are off for the day.

York Region: the numbers the calculator uses

Snow in an average year151 cm (59 in)
One-day snowfall reached about once a winter (the snow tolerance)13 cm (5 in)
Average winter low, December to February−8 °C (17 °F)
Climate stationRichmond Hill, ECCC Canadian Climate Normals 1981–2010
Headline outcomeBuses cancelled (schools usually stay open)
Cold ruleNo published rule found; the calculator estimates about −35 °C (−30 °F) wind chill.
Official callStudent Transportation Services of York Region: The decision is made by 6:00 a.m. YRDSB: “Schools will remain open unless otherwise stated, even when buses have been cancelled.”

Snow Day CalculatorSomeone shared their result

Suggested